Bernie would have won.
You’ve probably heard that sentence multiple times in the last year or so. If you’re a supporter of his, you will no doubt agree with it.
And if you disagree with that statement, then I’m sorry to break it to you, but you’re wrong.
At the time of the election, Sanders was way more popular than both Presidential candidates. Most polls showed he would have beaten Trump by a double digit margin.
And unlike Clinton and Trump, who have both seen their poll numbers decline since the election, Bernie Sanders’ stock has risen. He’s now the most popular politician in the country, by a long way, and his support is growing.
Bernie would have won. No doubt about it.
No wonder then, that the rumors are flying that he will again run for President again in 2020.
The only question now is, which party does he run for? Should he run for the Democratic nomination again?
Bernie Sanders’ 2020 Options
If he runs for the nomination of the Democratic National Committee in 2020, he won’t win, that’s for sure.
That’s not to say he couldn’t beat Trump in a head-to-head, he would, but he wouldn’t even get to that stage.
Because the DNC will not let that happen. There is no way the DNC will let Bernie Sanders win their nomination for President.
Ever since Sanders
lost was cheated in the 2016 primary against Hillary Clinton, his supporters have been up in arms as to the questionable tactics the DNC used to tilt the table in Hillary Clinton’s favor.
In Wyoming, for instance, Bernie Sanders won the state by 12 points. You would think then, that he gets the most delegates in that state, right?
Then there was the obvious stacking of the deck in Clinton’s favor at the Nevada state Convention Primary, and the blatant bias within the media and with super-delegates towards Clinton which no doubt had a marked effect.
The DNC denied it all, of course. They denied any rigging whatsoever, pointing to the fact Hillary won overall by 3 million votes.
“He lost, get over it”, Clinton’s supporters said.
Quite troubling then, that the Department of Justice has recently announced that the NYC Board of Elections broke federal law when it improperly purged nearly 120,000 Democratic Brooklyn voters from the rolls ahead of last April’s presidential primary.
Why Brooklyn, though? Why was it so noticeable that Brooklyn had such a purge of voters? You won’t be surprised to find out, that Brooklyn is Bernie Sanders’ place of birth.
Ask yourself this:
If that kind of rigging has been proven in one area of one state – do you think it didn’t happen anywhere else?
Can Bernie run as an Independent instead?
Technically, yes. But it’s a bloody difficult thing to do.
There are overwhelming organizational advantages and voter loyalty enjoyed by the major parties which would work against Sanders. There are a good chunk of people in America who will just vote Republican no matter who is nominated (Donald Trump for instance).
Similarly, there are a great deal of people who’ll vote Democrat no matter how bad their candidate is (Hillary Clinton for instance), just so they can stop a Republican getting in office (such as Donald Trump, for instance).
Sanders would also need to gather enough signatures on petitions to get on the ballot in all 50 states. This is also extremely difficult, however not impossible. Gary Johnson was the first person to get on the ballot in all 50 states for 20 years in 2016, and he was an idiot.
Then there’s the really difficult issue: Money.
A LOT of money would need to be spent on advertising. A LOT. Hillary Clinton
spent wasted over a billion dollars on advertising in 2016. Trump only spent $400 million, but probably got that much again in free advertising from cable networks who were fascinated by him.
However, if there’s one man who could raise serious amounts of cash, it’s Bernie Sanders.
In Bernie’s 2016 primary campaign alone he raised $240 million. There is no doubt that 18 months on from that he has more name recognition and is even more popular, so should be able to raise considerably more as an independent for a Presidential campaign.
So, technically, yes, Bernie could run as an independent.
However, there is a third, and in my opinion, a better option….
Bernie Sanders should run for President in 2020 as the Green Party candidate
It nearly happened in 2016. Jill Stein actually offered to step aside and let Bernie Sanders run on the Green ticket in her place after he
lost was cheated out of the DNC primary.
He wound up endorsing Hillary Clinton instead, much to the ire of many of his supporters. Sanders managed to get many of his policies included in the DNC platform by endorsing Clinton, although the DNC were probably doing nothing more than paying fealty to his ideas. After all, she needed his supporters.
In 2020, though, Sanders will go into any Presidential run fully knowing what to expect. He knows if he runs for the DNC nomination again, he’ll face the same sort of resistance as in 2016.
If not worse.
The DNC are not going to change their crooked, corrupt ways. If anything, the latest purge of progressives from within the DNC have proven they are finding new and improved ways to screw progressives.
He certainly could run as an independent candidate, however running for the Green Party would have several advantages.
What advantages would Sanders running for the Green Party have?
Firstly, running as “a Green” would fix one of the faults, possibly the main fault, with Sanders’ 2016 campaign.
Much like Trump, Sanders promised he would bring back manufacturing jobs to America. And just as when Trump said it, it was all BS.
We live in a different era now. Automation has taken many of those jobs away, and in the coming years they’ll take more away, not less.
Those manufacturing jobs have gone, and they’re not coming back.
If he ran for the Green party though, he would need to adopt a platform which included a ‘green new deal’. He’d have to talk about all the jobs that would be created if America made a move to clean energy, and that would appeal to two types of people.
Those who don’t care whether they were saving the planet, would be convinced because they want jobs. And green energy creates way more jobs in America these days than fossil fuels do. In some areas it is cheaper than fossil fuels, too.
Green energy is the future. It is the industry where the next economic “boom” will be, almost everyone agrees on that.
He’d also pick up voters who are interested in not ruining the planet we live on. This resonates in a huge way with a section of the population which is tough to get out to vote – the young.
If Bernie adopted a green new deal along with the other policies he advocates for which the general public love, he’d be almost unstoppable.
What would be the potential hurdles in his way?
Well, there would be numerous.
Let’s not even get to if he won the election to become President with a House and Senate full of members of different two parties who oppose him. No doubt there would be headaches and difficulties at every turn if that happened.
There’s no doubt he would have some support from within the Democratic party should he win, though. Especially if progressive candidates get a foothold inside the DNC by then.
Would Sanders be Included in the debates?
Sanders would almost certainly be included in the debates as a 3rd party candidate, so there’s no problem there. He consistently is rated as the most popular politician in the country. Nobody could give me a convincing argument Sanders wouldn’t poll over the 15% support required to be included in the live debates.
Would Sanders as a Green candidate raise the money required to run?
He can certainly raise the money on his own to run. The $240 million raised against Clinton in a primary proved that. And if you include any green energy firms who could pay lobbyists for the green party there would no doubt be a huge amount of donations there.
The main issue would be, as far as I can see, the die-hard Republican and Democrat voters.
However, Sanders could certainly pick up 20% or more of those that voted Republican in 2016. After all, 13% of those who voted for him in the primaries went on to vote for Trump. He’d probably pick up more votes from those who voted for Clinton.
And that’s without the millions he’d pick up from people who have opted out of voting for either party. 40% of all those registered to vote didn’t even bother in 2016, Sanders would no doubt mobilize a huge support from that crowd.
And if he did that, he’d almost certainly pass the 270 vote threshold in the electoral college.
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